Moran on Pole at Monaco!

Following a conversation during last years Monaco Grand Prix, and further fuelled by a small discussion at Gurston Down on Sunday (whilst the 2011 Monaco GP was in progress), I have been tasked with trying to answer one ‘simple’ question. What would Scotty do around Monaco ?

So, if Scott Moran were able to run a full lap of the Monte Carlo Grand Prix circuit in his hillclimb Gould-NME GR61X, what sort of time could we expect and where would that time put him on the 2011 F1 grid.

As Piers refused to ask Ron if Scott could have a day in McLaren’s simulator, I needed to get a calculator out! In order to shortcut the process, and to simplify it some what, I have decided to use the proven ‘percentage based’ system as used by Midweek Motorsport (radiolemans.com) for their car comparison chart.

The first task was to discover a comparison between an F1 car and a Gould, which would have to be Graeme Wight Jnr’s appearances at Goodwood with his GR51B. During one of Graeme’s appearances at the Festival of Speed Allan McNish was also being timed in the then current 2002 Toyota F1. The times recorded were as follows:

McNish @ Goodwood - 41.65
Jnr @ Goodwood - 42.95

So McNish was 3% faster than Jnr up Goodwood.

Now we need to compare Wight Jnr’s pace with that of Scott Moran, as Scott’s Gould has the benefit of an NME V8 and 8 seasons of development, so I looked at their respective PBs at the main midland-ish hills.

Moran @ Shelsley - 22.83
Jnr @ Shelsley - 24.24 (6.2% difference)

Moran @ Prescott – 36.35
Jnr @ Prescott - 37.37 (2.8% difference)

Moran @ Gurston - 25.58
Jnr @ Gurston - 26.88 (5.1% difference)

Moran @ Loton Park - 44.42
Jnr @ Loton Park - 46.56 (4.8% difference)

Lets say that on average Scott is 5% quicker than Jnr was. Therefore, that would make Scott about 2% quicker than McNish.

In qualifying at Monaco in 2002 McNish set a time of 1:18.292 and a time 2% quicker than that would be a 1:16.726s.

However the Monaco track changed for 2003, with revisions to the swimming pool section which made the track considerably quicker. Looking at times for 2002, 03 & 04 it appears as though the track is in the region of 3.5s faster.

Applying that to Scott’s theoretical lap means that his 2011 lap time would be 1:13.226. This means that last Saturday he would’ve been on pole position, nearly half a second faster than Sebastian Vettel’s Red Bull!

I am low-flying with this one and am waiting to be shot down! If you have tried this yourself, you disagree with my methods or if you have anything to add then please get in touch and let us know.

Comments

  1. You need to get out more.

  2. Rich Danby says:

    Using your assumptions but not rounding up the figures then he would be second.
    McNish’s time 1:18.292
    Jnr’s equivalent 1:20.737 (3.12% slower than McNish)
    Moran’s equivalent 1:17.227 (1.45% faster than Jnr – using total time on the four hills)
    Adjusted for new layout 1:13.727

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